Public Predictions
Resolving:
Create prediction trees that map how events might unfold. Add branching "what if" scenarios, vote on probabilities, and explore the multiverse of possibilities.
6 predictions found
Humanity will cause significant ecological damage before carbon becomes too expensive to extract, but is simultaneously bootstrapping next-generation energy sources in a race against time.
about 2 months ago
about 2 months ago
Dramatically cheaper software development restructures startup funding patterns and eventually shifts focus toward harder industries, unless the AI investment bubble bursts.
Extrapolated from https://www.andreymir.com/p/the-acceleration-problem-exponential The central thesis that accelerating event density—driven primarily by AI—is compressing historical eras into ever-shorter periods, converging on a singularity point in the mid-21st century that ends civilization as we know it.
Extrapolated from https://x.com/sarah_cone/status/2026446624621310156 A scenario in which AI gains diffuse broadly, institutions adapt faster than expected, and a positive feedback loop creates widespread prosperity rather than the feared dystopian collapse.
Extrapolated from https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/2028gic A speculative scenario in which rapid AI capability growth displaces white-collar workers, destroys friction-based business models, triggers private credit defaults, and destabilizes the mortgage market — creating an irreversible feedback loop with no natural brake.
about 2 months ago
about 2 months ago
about 2 months ago
about 2 months ago